Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Max Houkes		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.70	1.44
	2.58	1.58
	2.52	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.42
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.60	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
36%

Vilius Gaubas
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 241. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 128.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houkes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Max Houkes - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Max Houkes - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Max Houkes - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Max Houkes - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Max Houkes - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:0

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