Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROSETO DEGLI ABRUZZI (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.74	2.06
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.9	Watch
	1.71	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.59)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
53.1%

Jacopo Berrettini
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	0%	7.4%

Max Houkes - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Max Houkes will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Houkes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Max Houkes - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.04.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Gian Matias Di Natale - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Sidane Pontjodikromo - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Danil Panarin - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Andrea Del Federico - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
05.04.23	Dane Sweeny - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Salvatore Caruso - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

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