Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2022, Thursday


	Max Houkes		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.85	1.4
	2.8	1.43
	2.82	1.44
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
34.1%

Marco Trungelliti
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Max Houkes - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trungelliti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trungelliti will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Max Houkes - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Joao Domingues - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Mateus Alves - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Max Houkes - Blaise Bicknell	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Max Houkes - Ricardo Alejandro Ledesma Candelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Marco Trungelliti - Lukas Rosol	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Marco Trungelliti - Marius Copil	2:1 ✺
ATP Gijon
11.10.22	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Titouan Droguet - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW

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