Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Final

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Marco Trungelliti		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	2.07
	1.77	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.58)	1.99 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
53%

Marco Cecchinato
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Marco Trungelliti aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Marco Cecchinato aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Cecchinato will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 225.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Trungelliti might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Guy Orly Iradukunda	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
27.09.22	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled
ATP Umag
21.07.18	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.18	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	0:3
ATP Challenger
05.05.17	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	0:2

Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide