Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Max Houkes		Max Schoenhaus

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.36
	1.47	2.05	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
58.3%

Max Schoenhaus
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Max Schoenhaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Schoenhaus than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Max Houkes - Max Schoenhaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 238. Schoenhaus is ranked ATP: 524.

Houkes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Schoenhaus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Houkes could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Houkes - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Max Houkes - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Max Houkes - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Max Houkes - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Max Houkes - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Max Schoenhaus
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Niels McDonald - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Max Schoenhaus	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Marcel Zielinski - Max Schoenhaus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

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