Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUAYAQUIL (ECUADOR) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Max Houkes		Pedro Boscardin Dias

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.7	2
	1.72	2.04
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
54%

Pedro Boscardin Dias
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Boscardin Dias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Boscardin Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Max Houkes - Pedro Boscardin Dias Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Boscardin Dias will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Houkes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Houkes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Max Houkes - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Max Houkes - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Max Houkes - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Andres Urrea - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Urrea A. retired ✺
24.10.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Renzo Olivo	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Luis Britto	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Carlos Taberner - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LWWL

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