Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Ryan Nijboer

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.41	3.14
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
67.6%

Ryan Nijboer
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Max Houkes - Ryan Nijboer Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Nijboer (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 245. Nijboer is ranked ATP: 524.

Recent performances by Houkes have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nijboer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Houkes is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houkes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Max Houkes - Pierre Antoine Faut	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.26	Max Houkes - Karan Singh	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Max Houkes - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Max Houkes - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Matteo Covato	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Oscar Pinto Sansano - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Noah Regas Luis - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.20	Ryan Nijboer - Max Houkes	1:2

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