Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Amersfoort (Netherlands), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Riewer L. (Ger)


	Max Houkes		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.67	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
56.3%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Max Houkes - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Users Predictions: Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodriguez Taverna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodriguez Taverna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Houkes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Oliver Crawford - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Mathys Erhard - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Abel Forger - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Timo Legout - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Max Houkes - John Sperle	Sperle J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWW?
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
15.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alexey Zakharov	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

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