Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hamburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Max Houkes		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.05	1.70
	2.15	1.67
	2.12	1.75
	2.1	1.65
	2.08	1.74
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
44.4%

Sumit Nagal
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Houkes - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 242. Nagal is ranked ATP: 235.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houkes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.77%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Jerome Kym - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Max Houkes - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Max Houkes - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Max Houkes - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Martin Krumich - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Petr Brunclik - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Sumit Nagal - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes	2:0
28.04.23	Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes	2:0

Max Houkes - Sumit Nagal