What is the expert prediction for Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, July 28, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.21	1.73
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.30	1.59
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
43.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 241. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 177.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Max Houkes - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Max Houkes - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Max Houkes - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Max Schoenhaus - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
12.07.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Sanchez Jover	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Mark Ceban - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LWL

Max Houkes - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide