Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle (Germany), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday


	Max Purcell		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.96	1.44
	2.96	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
32.9%

Alexander Bublik
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Max Purcell - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Purcell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Halle
16.06.24	Max Purcell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Max Purcell - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Max Purcell - Henri Squire	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Max Purcell - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Stuttgart
14.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
12.06.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Gregoire Barrere - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
24.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.18	Max Purcell - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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