Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Max Purcell		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.2	1.66
	2.35	1.66
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.23	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
42.4%

Otto Virtanen
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Purcell's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Purcell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Max Purcell - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Virtanen will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Virtanen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Virtanen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Virtanen to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Max Purcell - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Max Purcell - Maxime Janvier	Janvier M. retired ✺
30.03.23	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Max Purcell - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Max Purcell - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?WWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Antoine Hoang - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
24.03.23	Otto Virtanen - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Max Purcell - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide