Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Max Purcell		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.7	1.46
	2.71	1.51
	2.68	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.7	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.26)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
35.3%

Tomas Machac
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Purcell's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Purcell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	0%	39.3%

Max Purcell - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Machac will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Purcell: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Purcell is ranked ATP: 59. Machac is ranked ATP: 39.

Recent matches Purcell is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machac is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Purcell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Machac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Max Purcell - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.24	Max Purcell - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
25.07.24	David Goffin - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Christopher OConnell - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Tomas Machac - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Tomas Machac - Roman Safiullin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

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