Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ceuta, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ceuta 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maxence Bertimon		Rafael Izquierdo Luque

	1	2
	2.92	1.42
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 (2.88)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxence Bertimon
32.5%

Rafael Izquierdo Luque
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxence Bertimon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rafael Izquierdo Luque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxence Bertimon than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxence Bertimon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Izquierdo Luque than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Izquierdo Luque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxence Bertimon - Rafael Izquierdo Luque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bertimon is ranked ATP: 735. Izquierdo Luque is ranked ATP: 866.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Izquierdo Luque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Izquierdo Luque is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxence Bertimon
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Maxence Bertimon - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Karlo Kajin - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Maxence Bertimon - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Maxence Bertimon	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
ITF Tournaments
13.04.26	Marcel Kamrowski - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Giles Hussey	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	Izquierdo Luque R. retired ✺
19.02.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Giorgio Tabacco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLL?L

Maxence Bertimon - Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Maxence Bertimon - Rafael Izquierdo Luque Predictions

Preview

Form

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