Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Creteil, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Marvin Moeller		Maxence Bertimon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.27	3.83
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
72.2%

Maxence Bertimon
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Maxence Bertimon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxence Bertimon than the current prediction. (+4%)

Marvin Moeller - Maxence Bertimon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 456. Bertimon is ranked ATP: 720.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moeller is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Marvin Moeller - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Paul Jubb - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Marvin Moeller - Stefano Napolitano	Moeller M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWL?
- Maxence Bertimon
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Maxence Bertimon - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Maxence Bertimon - Pablo Trochu	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Maxence Bertimon - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Pierre Delage - Maxence Bertimon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

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