Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Maxim Mrva		Federico Agustin Gomez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70	Watch
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.27	1.72
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
43.7%

Federico Agustin Gomez
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Federico Agustin Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxim Mrva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Agustin Gomez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maxim Mrva - Federico Agustin Gomez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Gomez (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gomez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 317. Gomez is ranked ATP: 174.

Mrva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gomez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gomez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gomez could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Mrva - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Rudolf Molleker - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Jan Choinski - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

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