Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 5 August 2026, Wednesday
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Maxim Mrva |
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Guy Den Ouden |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maxim Mrva 36.3% | Guy Den Ouden 63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxim Mrva's form might have worsened.Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Maxim Mrva - Guy Den Ouden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Mrva is ranked ATP: 317. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 222.Recent performances by Mrva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Den Ouden is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Den Ouden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. We predict that Den Ouden will win today's game, with odds of 1.55. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Last Results with these Odds
Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.24%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;