Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Maxim Mrva		Pierluigi Basile

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.42
	1.55	2.29
	1.57	2.35
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	2.28 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
59%

Pierluigi Basile
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pierluigi Basile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pierluigi Basile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxim Mrva - Pierluigi Basile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 317. Basile is ranked ATP: 627.

Mrva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basile is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Basile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mrva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Rudolf Molleker - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Nick Mertgens	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Pierluigi Basile
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Pierluigi Basile - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Pierluigi Basile - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Lorenzo Beraldo - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Marcello Serafini - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Gabriele Vulpitta - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Maxim Mrva - Pierluigi Basile: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide