Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 27 February 2026, Friday
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Maxim Mrva |
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Zsombor Piros |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maxim Mrva
24.3% | Zsombor Piros
75.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxim Mrva's form might have worsened.Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Maxim Mrva - Zsombor Piros Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Piros will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piros: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mrva (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Piros (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mrva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Piros (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Mrva is ranked ATP: 323. Piros is ranked ATP: 180.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Piros is seen as the favorite. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
