Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tarragona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Maxime Chazal		Julio Cesar Porras

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	1.83	1.83
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
44.8%

Julio Cesar Porras
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.

Julio Cesar Porras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Julio Cesar Porras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 335. Porras is ranked ATP: 561.

Chazal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Porras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chazal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chazal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Julio Cesar Porras - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Maxime Chazal - Ignacio Parisca	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Maxime Chazal - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Maxime Chazal - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Dinko Dinev - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Yassine Smiej - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Julio Cesar Porras	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Leonid Sheyngezikht	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.04.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Maxime Chazal	2:1

Maxime Chazal - Julio Cesar Porras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide