Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Maxime Chazal		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.57	1.28	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.7)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
26%

Lukas Neumayer
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maxime Chazal - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 329. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 211.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Maxime Chazal - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Dinko Dinev - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Yassine Smiej - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

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