Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Porec, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Maxime Chazal		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.55	1.52
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.07)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
37.1%

Mili Poljicak
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Maxime Chazal - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 539. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 388.

Chazal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poljicak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Mak Mikovic	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Maxime Chazal - Sergio Callejon Hernando	Chazal M. retired ✺
19.02.26	Maxime Chazal - Maxi Carrascosa Diaz	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Maxime Chazal - Andreja Petrovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?WW
- Mili Poljicak
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Josip Simundza - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Emanuel Ivanisevic - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Leonardo Rossi - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Romain Faucon - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Maxime Chazal - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide