Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Villena, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Maxime Chazal		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
	2.67	1.48
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.05)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
36.9%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergio Callejon Hernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergio Callejon Hernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxime Chazal - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chazal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 534. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 514.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Callejon Hernando may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Callejon Hernando might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Callejon Hernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Maxime Chazal - Maxi Carrascosa Diaz	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Maxime Chazal - Andreja Petrovic	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rigele Te - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Chen Ye - Maxime Chazal	Ye C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWW?
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Rihards Neimanis - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Samuel Heredia - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Sergey Fomin - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

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