Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santander (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maxime Chazal		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.25	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.73)	1.53 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
39.5%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
60.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 381. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 618.

Chazal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alvarez Varona in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chazal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chazal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
21.08.24	Maxime Chazal - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Maxime Chazal - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Maxime Chazal - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Alessio Vasquez Gehrke - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
21.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.04.19	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Maxime Chazal	1:2

Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona