Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Maxime Janvier		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.51
	2.46	1.55
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.5)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Janvier
38.7%

Calvin Hemery
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

Janvier is ranked ATP: 565. Hemery is ranked ATP: 203.

Janvier is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hemery has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hemery could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Janvier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Albano Olivetti	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Hugo Car - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mert Naci Turker - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Peter Makk - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.10.23	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	1:2
16.11.21	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	1:2
15.05.18	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	0:2

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