Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Slovenj Gradec, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Maximilian Figl		Luca Castagnola

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Maximilian Figl
33.9%

Luca Castagnola
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Figl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Figl than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Figl is ranked ATP: 1181. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 799.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castagnola is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Figl
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Maximilian Figl - Nino Ehrenschneider	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Toprak Avcibasi - Maximilian Figl	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Maximilian Figl	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Lorenzo Berto - Maximilian Figl	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Maximilian Figl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Bruno Fernandez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Georgi Georgiev	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Yoan Naydenov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Luca Castagnola - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Luca Castagnola - Luca Parenti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Luca Castagnola	✺

Maximilian Figl - Luca Castagnola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide