The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maximilian Marterer 42%
Aslan Karatsev 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
49.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Marterer's form might have worsened.
Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Marterer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
0%
37.5%
Maximilian Marterer - Aslan Karatsev Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Marterer will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Karatsev will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marterer: 45.7% – 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.