Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 15 January 2024, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Maximilian Marterer		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.78	2.16
	1.8	2
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
54.3%

Nuno Borges
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Marterer's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Marterer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	0%	8.6%

Maximilian Marterer - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Maximilian Marterer will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.16% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Marterer in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Borges is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marterer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marterer to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marterer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Maximilian Marterer - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
19.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Flavio Cobolli - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Maxime Cressy - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Arthur Fery - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?WWWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.12.23	Nuno Borges - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Nuno Borges - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
19.10.23	Maximilian Marterer - Nuno Borges	2:0

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