Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Maximus Jones		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.72	1.28
	3.55	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.93)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
26.3%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximus Jones's form might have worsened.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Maximus Jones - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 394. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 187.

In recent matches, Jones has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Budkov Kjaer is considered a favorite.

We predict that Budkov Kjaer will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Maximus Jones - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Maximus Jones - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Maximus Jones - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLL
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Hynek Barton - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mathys Erhard	Erhard M. retired ✺
23.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWW?W

Maximus Jones - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide