Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Hynek Barton		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	2.16	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
44.6%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hynek Barton's form might have worsened.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hynek Barton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hynek Barton - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barton: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barton (votes: 1 - 50%). Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 328. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 253.

Barton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hynek Barton - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Federico Cina - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Hynek Barton - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Daniel Michalski - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Hynek Barton - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Hynek Barton - Hermanni Tiainen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mathys Erhard	Erhard M. retired ✺
23.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWLW

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