Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.67
	1.45	2.72	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	2.59 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
63.8%

Mathys Erhard
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 2 - 50%). Erhard (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 253. Erhard is ranked ATP: 262.

Budkov Kjaer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Erhard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Budkov Kjaer is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Oskari Paldanius	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Abel Forger	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide