Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Maxwell McKennon		Daniil Ostapenkov

	1	2
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.59)	1.81 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxwell McKennon
49%

Daniil Ostapenkov
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxwell McKennon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxwell McKennon's form might have worsened.

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Ostapenkov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxwell McKennon than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxwell McKennon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McKennon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McKennon is ranked ATP: 552. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 737.

McKennon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostapenkov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ostapenkov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxwell McKennon
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Mert Naci Turker - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Maxwell McKennon - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Zura Tkemaladze - Maxwell McKennon	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Thijs Boogaard - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Dorian Tremblay - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	David Eichenseher - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Daniil Ostapenkov	Parizzia N. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Jannik Opitz - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW?L

Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide