Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Mayar Sherif		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5	1.16
	5.6	1.14	Watch
	6.07	1.15
	6.07	1.16
	5	1.17
	5.15	1.17	Watch
	5.4	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (3.18)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mayar Sherif
17.4%

Elise Mertens
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mayar Sherif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mayar Sherif's form might have worsened.

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mayar Sherif, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mayar Sherif - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sherif is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mertens is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sherif could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mertens is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sherif won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mayar Sherif
WTA Hobart
08.01.24	Mayar Sherif - Caroline Dolehide	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Mayar Sherif - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
22.11.23	Mayar Sherif - Ylena In-Albon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Mayar Sherif - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Mayar Sherif - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
11.01.24	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Elise Mertens - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Elise Mertens - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Elise Mertens - Danielle Collins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
01.05.23	Mayar Sherif - Elise Mertens	2:1

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