Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	McCartney Kessler		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.20	1.67
	2.45	1.64
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.34	1.69	Watch
	2.20	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.76)	1.65 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

McCartney Kessler
42.2%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in McCartney Kessler's performance.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Alexandrova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with McCartney Kessler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Alexandrova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

McCartney Kessler - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Kessler (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kessler (votes: 1 - 50%). Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kessler is ranked WTA: 48. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.

Kessler has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alexandrova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kessler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alexandrova might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kessler won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ekaterina Alexandrova - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.68%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- McCartney Kessler
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Caty McNally - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Anna Kalinskaya - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	McCartney Kessler - Cadence Brace	2:0 ✺
WTA Memphis
28.07.26	Renata Zarazua - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Monterrey
26.08.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Anna Blinkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
17.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - McCartney Kessler	2:0

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