Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday


	Mei Yamaguchi		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.64
			Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.71)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mei Yamaguchi
42%

Elvina Kalieva
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mei Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mei Yamaguchi's performance.

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elvina Kalieva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mei Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mei Yamaguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elvina Kalieva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Yamaguchi is ranked WTA: 275. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 298.

In recent matches, Yamaguchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalieva's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kalieva could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mei Yamaguchi Tennis
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Victoria Hu - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Despina Papamichail - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Mei Yamaguchi - Kathinka Von Deichmann	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Elvina Kalieva - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Anna Frey - Elvina Kalieva	Canceled ✺
04.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Elvina Kalieva - Anita Sahdiieva	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Martina Okalova - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elvina Kalieva	✺

Mei Yamaguchi - Elvina Kalieva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide