Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Mei Yamaguchi		Lizette Cabrera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.99
	1.21	3.83	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.84)	3.05 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mei Yamaguchi
69.2%

Lizette Cabrera
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mei Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mei Yamaguchi's performance.

Lizette Cabrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lizette Cabrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mei Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mei Yamaguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lizette Cabrera than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lizette Cabrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mei Yamaguchi - Lizette Cabrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yamaguchi is ranked WTA: 293. Cabrera is ranked WTA: 305.

Yamaguchi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cabrera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yamaguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yamaguchi might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lizette Cabrera - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mei Yamaguchi Tennis
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Mei Yamaguchi - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Mei Yamaguchi - Wushuang Zheng	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Mei Yamaguchi - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Anastasia Zolotareva - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Ayano Shimizu - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Lizette Cabrera
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Lizette Cabrera	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Katy Dunne - Lizette Cabrera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Lizette Cabrera - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Lizette Cabrera - Zongyu Li	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

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