Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Dennis Novak		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.58
	2.51	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.39	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
39.1%

Zsombor Piros
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dennis Novak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Dennis Novak - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Piros will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 366. Piros is ranked ATP: 266.

Novak is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Piros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Piros will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.01%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Massimo Giunta - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros	Sels J. retired ✺
10.02.25	Michael Geerts - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Zsombor Piros - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.10.24	Dennis Novak - Zsombor Piros	0:2

Dennis Novak - Zsombor Piros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide