Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Austin, TX, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Austin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Michael Antonius		Andrew Fenty

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.72	2.00	Watch
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.68	2.05
	1.72	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Antonius
54%

Andrew Fenty
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Antonius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Antonius than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Antonius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrew Fenty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Antonius - Andrew Fenty Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Antonius is ranked ATP: 632., and Fenty is ranked ATP: 466..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Fenty may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Antonius has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrew Fenty - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Antonius
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Keaton Hance - Michael Antonius	2:1 ✺
Boys Singles US Open
07.09.26	Michael Antonius - Simone Massellani	0:2
06.09.26	Michael Antonius - Leonardo Storck Franca	2:0
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Michael Antonius	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Michael Antonius - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW
- Andrew Fenty
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Andrew Fenty - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Igor Marcondes - Andrew Fenty	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Andrew Fenty - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Andrew Fenty - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Andrew Fenty - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Michael Antonius - Andrew Fenty	2:0

Michael Antonius - Andrew Fenty