Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: METZ (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Michael Geerts		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.65	1.44
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.86	1.44
	2.86	1.44
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.19)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
34.3%

Calvin Hemery
65.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calvin Hemery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Geerts is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hemery is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hemery will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Geerts won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Michael Geerts - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Michael Geerts - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Michael Geerts - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Robert Strombachs - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Michael Geerts - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Calvin Hemery - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.22	Calvin Hemery - Michael Geerts	0:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
23.07.20	Michael Geerts - Calvin Hemery	2:1
22.07.20	Michael Geerts - Calvin Hemery	1:2

Michael Geerts - Calvin Hemery

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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