Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	2.85	1.35
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.24)	1.35 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
31.8%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Sanchez Jover's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Sanchez Jover, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Geerts - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 344., and Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 336..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Geerts could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sanchez Jover holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Geerts has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
25.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Michael Geerts - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Michael Geerts - Billy Blaydes	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Lars Goran Verwerft - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.21	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Michael Geerts	2:0

Michael Geerts - Carlos Sanchez Jover: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide