Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Kirill Kivattsev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.21	3.8
	1.24	3.73
	1.22	4
	1.25	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	3.79 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
75.5%

Kirill Kivattsev
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Geerts's performance.

Kirill Kivattsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kirill Kivattsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kirill Kivattsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Geerts - Kirill Kivattsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 276. Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 586.

Geerts has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kivattsev has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kivattsev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Geerts is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Michael Geerts - Aryan Shah	Shah A. retired ✺
23.04.25	Michael Geerts - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Michael Geerts - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Richard Berankis - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L?WWL
- Kirill Kivattsev
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Aleksandre Bakshi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Hamish Stewart - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Saba Purtseladze - Kirill Kivattsev	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLL?

Michael Geerts - Kirill Kivattsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide