Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.89	1.39	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.14)	1.48 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
36.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Michael Geerts - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Geerts is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martinez Portero is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Martinez Portero to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
15.01.24	Michael Geerts - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Michael Geerts - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Michael Geerts - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Jaime Faria - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
27.11.23	Michael Geerts - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.12.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
30.11.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

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