Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MASPALOMAS (SPAIN), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Kilian Feldbausch

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.48	2.5
	1.51	2.67
	1.52	2.67
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
63.5%

Kilian Feldbausch
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kilian Feldbausch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Martinez Portero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kilian Feldbausch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Kilian Feldbausch Predictions

Users Predictions: Pedro Martinez Portero will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
02.12.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
30.11.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
23.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Martinez Portero	Yevseyev D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWW?
- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
02.12.23	Daniel Rincon - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
01.12.23	Kilian Feldbausch - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
30.11.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Kilian Feldbausch	1:2 ✺
28.11.23	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Kilian Feldbausch	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
27.11.23	Kilian Feldbausch - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWW?W

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