Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday


	Michael Geerts		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.95	1.38
	3.03	1.39
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.82	1.39	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.46)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
33.8%

Salvatore Caruso
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Michael Geerts - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: Salvatore Caruso will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Geerts is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caruso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Geerts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caruso will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Caruso to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Geerts won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Li Tu - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.03.23	Michael Geerts - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Michael Geerts - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Michael Geerts - Sean Hodkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.23	Michael Geerts - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Edoardo Lavagno	Lavagno E. retired ✺
18.02.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Marek Gengel - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
18.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Michael Geerts	2:0

Michael Geerts - Salvatore Caruso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide