Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MANAMA (BAHRAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.43	1.55
	2.46	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
38.4%

Salvatore Caruso
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lorenzo Giustino - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Caruso will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Caruso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caruso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caruso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Giustino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
15.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
30.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Gian Marco Moroni	Giustino L. retired ✺
29.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WW?WL
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
15.02.23	Marek Gengel - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Salvatore Caruso - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
13.02.23	Viktor Durasovic - Salvatore Caruso	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
21.08.18	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
ATP Challenger
31.05.17	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
16.08.16	Lorenzo Giustino - Salvatore Caruso	2:0
16.07.15	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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