Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Loule (Portugal), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Michael Geerts		Toby Alex Kodat

	1	2
	1.24	3.5
	1.34	3.08	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	3.18 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
70.7%

Toby Alex Kodat
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Geerts's performance.

Toby Alex Kodat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toby Alex Kodat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Alex Kodat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Geerts - Toby Alex Kodat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 303. Kodat is ranked ATP: 361.

Recent matches Geerts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kodat is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Geerts is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Michael Geerts - James Story	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Michael Geerts - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Michael Geerts - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Michael Geerts - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Toby Alex Kodat
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Jose Dominguez Alonso - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Toby Alex Kodat - James Story	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Michael Geerts - Toby Alex Kodat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide