The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Michael Geerts 35%
Alexis Galarneau 65%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
61.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
63.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Michael Geerts - Alexis Galarneau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAM won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
UNAM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 20 head-to-head matches UNAM won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams UNAM won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.8:1).