What is the expert prediction for Michael Vrbensky vs Milos Karol?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Michael Vrbensky vs Milos Karol. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Michael Vrbensky vs Milos Karol Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, June 15, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Michael Vrbensky		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.28
	3.5	1.25
	3.38	1.34
	3.02	1.33	Watch
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	2.76	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.23)	1.32 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
29.5%

Milos Karol
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Vrbensky's form might have worsened.

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milos Karol's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vrbensky will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Karol will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 628. Karol is ranked ATP: 443.

Karol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vrbensky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

Michael Vrbensky - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Michael Vrbensky - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Michael Vrbensky - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Robin Bertrand - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Daniel Cukierman - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Franco Agamenone - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Molcan - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Milos Karol - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Marek Gengel - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Saba Purtseladze - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	0:2
ITF Tournaments
20.04.23	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	2:1

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