Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Michael Vrbensky		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.28
	3.5	1.25
	3.38	1.34
	3.02	1.33	Watch
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	2.76	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.23)	1.32 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
29.5%

Milos Karol
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Vrbensky's form might have worsened.

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milos Karol's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vrbensky will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Karol will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 628. Karol is ranked ATP: 443.

Karol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vrbensky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Vrbensky - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Michael Vrbensky - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Michael Vrbensky - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Robin Bertrand - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Daniel Cukierman - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Franco Agamenone - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Molcan - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Milos Karol - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Marek Gengel - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Saba Purtseladze - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	0:2
ITF Tournaments
20.04.23	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	2:1

Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide