Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Michael Zheng		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.2	4.33
	1.21	4.1
	1.21	4.19
	1.21	4.59
	1.21	4.33	Watch
	1.25	3.75
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.44)	4.22 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Zheng
77.6%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Zheng's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Zheng that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Zheng - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Michael Zheng will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zheng is ranked ATP: 322. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 227.

Zheng is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uchiyama is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Uchiyama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zheng is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Zheng
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Michael Zheng - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Michael Zheng - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Michael Zheng - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
12.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Taha Baadi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Valentin Royer - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Michael Zheng - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide