Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Michal Krajci		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.4	1.51
	2.62	1.48
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.2)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michal Krajci
38.8%

Mert Alkaya
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michal Krajci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michal Krajci than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Michal Krajci - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krajci is ranked ATP: 664. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 648.

Krajci has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alkaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alkaya might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Alkaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michal Krajci
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Max Wiskandt - Michal Krajci	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Michal Krajci - Peter Makk	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Renta Tokuda - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Edward Winter - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alp Horoz - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Alexander Donski - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Oscar Weightman - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Mert Alkaya - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Glib Sekachov - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Oren Vasser - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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